1 lb of weight loss is equivalent to 1.5 watts of power gain. If you want to make a formula out of it ...
(weight difference) * 1.5 = power difference
Every pound of weight lost equates to a .46% time gain. So, 10 pounds should almost net a 5% time bonus.
(time at old weight) / (1 - weight loss in pounds * .0046) = time at new weight
an overall sustained gain of 1 watt increases overall time by .31% and so a 10 watt gain yields a 3% time bonus.
(time at old power) / (1 - power gain in watts * .0031) = time at new power
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